Spike bucket
07/10/2026, 10:57:00 A.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 07/10/2026, 10:57:00 A.M. to 07/10/2026, 10:58:00 A.M.
Fully observable spike
high confidence
100% coverage
High-confidence spike
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 4,506.83
Unexplained QUAI: 0
Facts
Pattern: Mixed spike
Dominant transfer: 53% of explained volume
Relative context
0.1x above local average
1.7x previous minute
1.1x next minute
Interpretation
This spike is explained by a mix of visible transfers, with one stronger contributor.
One transfer stands out, but supporting activity also contributes materially.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
3
Observable rows
4
100.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
4
Asset volume
2,372.83 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x00495F2290B8B69fcf7Ae356395aBf7DbeC49aD7 • 0x004d9e4F409D06A0e67F754FC49f63753B8648D7.
Dominant behavior: distribution
distribution + high confidence + 2373 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 55
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x00495F2290B8B69fcf7Ae356395aBf7DbeC49aD7 • 0x004d9e4F409D06A0e67F754FC49f63753B8648D7.
0x002b5F9b76bA593A0b96055aD0554Fb6C6287781 -> 0x00124aA47f2FA701a1B8E4519fC8ad9608EB692F (2 repeated flows).
Confidence context: high • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 4 visible transfer rows • 1 repeated counterpart flow
Confidence high • Source account-shape-default
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Broad source coverage
Last updated: 07/10/2026, 10:57:00 A.M.
Coverage gaps appear limited
Based on: 1 related signal • 4 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (distribution).
- Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
- Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.
Top actors in this event
0x00495F2290B8B69fcf7Ae356395aBf7DbeC49aD7
Net sender
Unknown type
2,370.83 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x004d9e4F409D06A0e67F754FC49f63753B8648D7
Net receiver
Unknown type
2,370.83 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0024e7fCce4c674cD5CC4c634CC4E75916aC0340
Net sender
Unknown type
2,134 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x002896BfB4CA4d5C17330fcC5621f3E3ABc31A94
Net receiver
Unknown type
2,134 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x002b5F9b76bA593A0b96055aD0554Fb6C6287781
Net sender
Unknown type
2 QUAI across 2 visible rows
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
0x002b5F9b76bA593A0b96055aD0554Fb6C6287781 → 0x00124aA47f2FA701a1B8E4519fC8ad9608EB692F
2 repeated flows • 2 QUAI
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm distribution still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Fully observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
3 tx
2,372.83 QUAI • 4 addresses
07/10/2026, 10:57:28 A.M.
-1 min
2 tx
1,374.35 QUAI • 4 addresses
07/10/2026, 10:56:28 A.M.
+1 min
2 tx
2,135 QUAI • 4 addresses
07/10/2026, 10:58:28 A.M.
-2 min
3 tx
2,652.57 QUAI • 4 addresses
07/10/2026, 10:55:28 A.M.
-3 min
7 tx
61,037.51 QUAI • 8 addresses
07/10/2026, 10:54:28 A.M.
-4 min
1 tx
1 QUAI • 2 addresses
07/10/2026, 10:53:28 A.M.
+4 min
3 tx
3 QUAI • 2 addresses
07/10/2026, 11:01:28 A.M.
-5 min
Best candidate13 tx
78,010.38 QUAI • 14 addresses
07/10/2026, 10:52:28 A.M.
Biggest whale alert
2,370.83 QUAI
Derived whale alertAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
07/10/2026, 10:57:17 A.M.
QUAI transfer observed on Cyprus-1
Derived from the largest observable transfer in this minute because no persisted whale-alert row was found yet.
From: 0x00495F2290B8B69fcf7Ae356395aBf7DbeC49aD7
To: 0x004d9e4F409D06A0e67F754FC49f63753B8648D7
All transfers in this selected minute
4 transactions
1 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
07/10/2026, 10:57:59 A.M.
From: 0x002b5F9b76bA593A0b96055aD0554Fb6C6287781
To: 0x00124aA47f2FA701a1B8E4519fC8ad9608EB692F
Tx: 0x006700670830f7bde2e9b8305b6d7716419cf60c09c871396a71a641cdbe382d
2,134 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
07/10/2026, 10:57:44 A.M.
From: 0x0024e7fCce4c674cD5CC4c634CC4E75916aC0340
To: 0x002896BfB4CA4d5C17330fcC5621f3E3ABc31A94
Tx: 0x0055002d03f83f658e300dcf571e18faa90d051bd370929e9b5677d3a75604ab
2,370.83 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
07/10/2026, 10:57:17 A.M.
From: 0x00495F2290B8B69fcf7Ae356395aBf7DbeC49aD7
To: 0x004d9e4F409D06A0e67F754FC49f63753B8648D7
Tx: 0x004f001d0dd38d43dceee82d051b384c8b69dbadd353c1f0e714b5a09c18a405
1 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
07/10/2026, 10:57:17 A.M.
From: 0x002b5F9b76bA593A0b96055aD0554Fb6C6287781
To: 0x00124aA47f2FA701a1B8E4519fC8ad9608EB692F
Tx: 0x002f00151e0e6538ef65f2f6fb727bda545e40147521986f5f11f8465f13bf49