Spike bucket
07/10/2026, 10:54:00 A.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 07/10/2026, 10:54:00 A.M. to 07/10/2026, 10:55:00 A.M.
Partially observable spike
low confidence
4% coverage
Whale-driven spike detected
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 2,651.57
Unexplained QUAI: 58,385.94
Facts
Pattern: Whale-driven spike
Dominant transfer: 100% of explained volume
Relative context
3.3x above local average
61038x previous minute
23x next minute
Interpretation
Most of this spike is explained by one dominant transfer.
A single transfer leads the visible activity, but some of the bucket remains unexplained.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
7
Observable rows
2
28.6% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
8
Asset volume
61,037.51 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x007a1212Ab2492fF035cf8870Af77093BA838360 • 0x0050219A153A9936dae5D0B0bacf8e3BD31a05Ef.
Dominant behavior: whale rotation
whale_rotation + low confidence + 61038 QUAI
Large flow appears concentrated across whale-linked actors, suggesting coordinated reallocation.
Importance score: 50
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x007a1212Ab2492fF035cf8870Af77093BA838360 • 0x0050219A153A9936dae5D0B0bacf8e3BD31a05Ef.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: low • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 2 visible transfer rows
Confidence low • Source account-shape-default
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window • no repeated pair pattern yet • confidence remains low
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Thin source coverage
Last updated: 07/10/2026, 10:54:00 A.M.
Coverage gap high (96% not covered)
Based on: 1 related signal • 2 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • source coverage is thin; unseen counterpart activity may be missing • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • observable coverage remains partial (4%) • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (whale rotation).
- Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
- Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.
Top actors in this event
0x007a1212Ab2492fF035cf8870Af77093BA838360
Net sender
Unknown type
2,650.57 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0050219A153A9936dae5D0B0bacf8e3BD31a05Ef
Net receiver
Unknown type
2,650.57 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x002b5F9b76bA593A0b96055aD0554Fb6C6287781
Net sender
Unknown type
1 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x00124aA47f2FA701a1B8E4519fC8ad9608EB692F
Net receiver
Unknown type
1 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm whale rotation still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Partially observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
Large flow appears concentrated across whale-linked actors, suggesting coordinated reallocation.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
7 tx
61,037.51 QUAI • 8 addresses
07/10/2026, 10:54:28 A.M.
-1 min
1 tx
1 QUAI • 2 addresses
07/10/2026, 10:53:28 A.M.
+1 min
3 tx
2,652.57 QUAI • 4 addresses
07/10/2026, 10:55:28 A.M.
-2 min
Best candidate13 tx
78,010.38 QUAI • 14 addresses
07/10/2026, 10:52:28 A.M.
+2 min
2 tx
1,374.35 QUAI • 4 addresses
07/10/2026, 10:56:28 A.M.
+3 min
3 tx
2,372.83 QUAI • 4 addresses
07/10/2026, 10:57:28 A.M.
-4 min
1 tx
90 QUAI • 2 addresses
07/10/2026, 10:50:28 A.M.
+4 min
2 tx
2,135 QUAI • 4 addresses
07/10/2026, 10:58:28 A.M.
Biggest whale alert
2,650.57 QUAI
Derived whale alertPrimary driver of this spikeAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
07/10/2026, 10:54:53 A.M.
QUAI transfer observed on Cyprus-1
Derived from the largest observable transfer in this minute because no persisted whale-alert row was found yet.
From: 0x007a1212Ab2492fF035cf8870Af77093BA838360
To: 0x0050219A153A9936dae5D0B0bacf8e3BD31a05Ef
All transfers in this selected minute
2 transactions
2,650.57 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
07/10/2026, 10:54:53 A.M.
From: 0x007a1212Ab2492fF035cf8870Af77093BA838360
To: 0x0050219A153A9936dae5D0B0bacf8e3BD31a05Ef
Tx: 0x004000400e7c5a648b7a95ac30154f37be1d82bed609fc491aad2090ae0bb366
1 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
07/10/2026, 10:54:53 A.M.
From: 0x002b5F9b76bA593A0b96055aD0554Fb6C6287781
To: 0x00124aA47f2FA701a1B8E4519fC8ad9608EB692F
Tx: 0x007800105b7b16def8e14d0cda8fac696c9878b0ea88f7547963a82ed88b4868
