Spike bucket
07/10/2026, 10:53:00 A.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 07/10/2026, 10:53:00 A.M. to 07/10/2026, 10:54:00 A.M.
Fully observable spike
high confidence
100% coverage
High-confidence spike
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 61,037.51
Unexplained QUAI: 0
Facts
Pattern: Mixed spike
Dominant transfer: 52% of explained volume
Relative context
0.0x above local average
0.0x previous minute
0.0x next minute
Interpretation
This spike is explained by a mix of visible transfers, with one stronger contributor.
One transfer stands out, but supporting activity also contributes materially.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
1
Observable rows
7
100.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
2
Asset volume
1 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a • 0x0028132bc39611Bb94B35DA801433c7feF24cF7D.
Dominant behavior: distribution
distribution + high confidence + 1 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 55
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a • 0x0028132bc39611Bb94B35DA801433c7feF24cF7D.
0x002b5F9b76bA593A0b96055aD0554Fb6C6287781 -> 0x00124aA47f2FA701a1B8E4519fC8ad9608EB692F (2 repeated flows).
Confidence context: high • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 7 visible transfer rows • 1 repeated counterpart flow
Confidence high • Source account-shape-default
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Broad source coverage
Last updated: 07/10/2026, 10:53:00 A.M.
Coverage gaps appear limited
Based on: 1 related signal • 7 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Probable actor type is exchange (high confidence).
What to do next
Prioritize exchange-bound and exchange-outflow checks first.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (distribution).
- Validate exchange context using label/source evidence.
- Identity hint: Explicit label identifies exchange context.
Top actors in this event
MEXC hot wallet
Net receiver
Exchange
61,035.51 QUAI across 5 visible rows
Known watch context
0x0028132bc39611Bb94B35DA801433c7feF24cF7D
Net sender
Unknown type
31,999.71 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0048174911Afdd1FC89673bE5456606418a2748e
Net sender
Unknown type
15,059.96 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x004a6CCE919d3E359b135Eb543BBCcB6818E8164
Net sender
Unknown type
5,691.4 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x005a045F7bB830cf070c47a1A5F9b7d95D43f304
Net sender
Unknown type
4,204.96 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
0x002b5F9b76bA593A0b96055aD0554Fb6C6287781 → 0x00124aA47f2FA701a1B8E4519fC8ad9608EB692F
2 repeated flows • 2 QUAI
Type concentration
To exchange: 61,035.51 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm distribution still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Fully observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
1 tx
1 QUAI • 2 addresses
07/10/2026, 10:53:28 A.M.
-1 min
Best candidate13 tx
78,010.38 QUAI • 14 addresses
07/10/2026, 10:52:28 A.M.
+1 min
7 tx
61,037.51 QUAI • 8 addresses
07/10/2026, 10:54:28 A.M.
+2 min
3 tx
2,652.57 QUAI • 4 addresses
07/10/2026, 10:55:28 A.M.
-3 min
1 tx
90 QUAI • 2 addresses
07/10/2026, 10:50:28 A.M.
+3 min
2 tx
1,374.35 QUAI • 4 addresses
07/10/2026, 10:56:28 A.M.
+4 min
3 tx
2,372.83 QUAI • 4 addresses
07/10/2026, 10:57:28 A.M.
+5 min
2 tx
2,135 QUAI • 4 addresses
07/10/2026, 10:58:28 A.M.
Biggest whale alert
31,999.71 QUAI
Derived whale alertAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
07/10/2026, 10:53:46 A.M.
QUAI transfer observed on Cyprus-1
Derived from the largest observable transfer in this minute because no persisted whale-alert row was found yet.
From: 0x0028132bc39611Bb94B35DA801433c7feF24cF7D
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
All transfers in this selected minute
7 transactions
1 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
07/10/2026, 10:53:59 A.M.
From: 0x002b5F9b76bA593A0b96055aD0554Fb6C6287781
To: 0x00124aA47f2FA701a1B8E4519fC8ad9608EB692F
Tx: 0x000d0078b5f680821741c81a56216a8e0d66403ebb361f3ead856809f9b20c29
4,079.48 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
07/10/2026, 10:53:46 A.M.
From: 0x005DE04b9687ca5cDF83d41D728881D6dbd5f13E
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x005f006d471e942d9e145576f0c3618c39c6326313e4ee0c087bdcc4473390fc
15,059.96 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
07/10/2026, 10:53:46 A.M.
From: 0x0048174911Afdd1FC89673bE5456606418a2748e
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x000e004f92cb758461eaadd959ffb524b8bb91fe7158bae8fea16ca74b7b8e17
31,999.71 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
07/10/2026, 10:53:46 A.M.
From: 0x0028132bc39611Bb94B35DA801433c7feF24cF7D
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x000b005e2d3b2b9a6e51fef30c8c43caaa108ce77dd0367354b62fa20ea83ef9
5,691.4 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
07/10/2026, 10:53:46 A.M.
From: 0x004a6CCE919d3E359b135Eb543BBCcB6818E8164
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x000e0044e2f4c621495ec4f17bf62f90ef870e831a72ec7f509beddd514659a6
4,204.96 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
07/10/2026, 10:53:46 A.M.
From: 0x005a045F7bB830cf070c47a1A5F9b7d95D43f304
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x00530027778787133eadb4bdf886738bdbc7623b86d31a16a478118cb1973e7c
1 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
07/10/2026, 10:53:27 A.M.
From: 0x002b5F9b76bA593A0b96055aD0554Fb6C6287781
To: 0x00124aA47f2FA701a1B8E4519fC8ad9608EB692F
Tx: 0x0026003fef7016e387b16a4d8345963c67b91bb6e14eefb2950e9f902896c43b